This blog is a way for me to share hard learned lessons about money with those who are just starting out on their own. I hope it's a way for you to avoid making the mistakes I made, and to benefit from my experiences

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Will the oil bubble pop?

In April 2007, I was predicting $4 gas in the summer. I had the right idea, but was off by a year. Recently I've been seeing a few stations in my area posting 3.999 per gallon of gas signs for regular.

Over the last year, the dollar has declined in value 10% internationally, yet oil prices are over 80% higher. I don't think that's dictated by supply and demand. I'm beginning to think this is a speculative bubble. We had the bubble, then the housing bubble, even a little gold bubble recently. Now I think it's people investing in the only thing they see going up. Oil. I don't think market fundamentals are behind the sharp increases at all.

I predict we'll start hearing hucksters on radio commercials and internet ads telling us how we can make a killing by investing as they do in oil. Pretty soon, average folks will be talking about how they are thinking of investing in oil. That's when I think the oil bubble will pop. I predict that within 6 months, we're going to see oil start tumbling down to the $70 a barrel price range.

You heard it hear first folks!

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well said..
wow gold

10/20/2009 3:28 AM


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